Pike Research Provides 10 Plug-In Car Predictions for 2013
With 2012 now nearly in the history books and 2013 right around the corner, Pike Research, in a free online whitepaper, made 10 specific plug-in vehicle predictions that its envisions for the new year.
As Pike states, sales of plug-in vehicles will hit 210,000 units globally in 2013. Rising sales will be directly related to the introduction of at least 36 plug-in vehicles that will debut across the globe in 2013. Pike also suggests that plug-in vehicle sales will continue to rise rather rapidly in California, and believes that China will finally enter the plug-in segment with some degree of authority.
Here's a brief summary of Pike Research's 10 plug-in vehicle predictions for 2013:
1. Capital shifts from vehicles to battery components. Pike says that most funding in 2013 will shift to firms making batteries or battery components.
2. Sales of electric bikes will surge. Pike predicts that sales for the global electric bike industry will hit 33.6 million units in 2013.
3. 48-volt lead-acid and lithium-ion batteries will become commonplace, especially in the heavy-duty segment. Pike says that several automakers will design vehicles that utilize 48-volt batteries.
4. At least 3,400 fuel cell vehicles will be on the road by the end of 2013, though most will still only be available to fleets and through trial programs.
5. Battery swapping is on its way out. The idea of swapping "will fade further into the rear-view mirror in 2013,” according to Pike.
6. Germany will lead Europe’s slower-than-expected charge in the plug-in vehicle segment. German automakers will introduce at least seven plug-ins in 2013.
7. Coasting technology will be utilized by automaker's to raise fuel economy of internal combustion engines to better compete with plug-ins. Here, coasting implies that an engine shut offs when there's no pressure applied to the accelerator pedal.
8. The "slow" versus quick charging debate continues. In 2013, quick-charging will become more available, but its high price will lead host sites to also provide less expensive Level 1 setups.
9. Europe's extensive plug-in vehicle charging infrastructure will become an example for the rest of the world to follow.
10. The rise of natural gas vehicles and the abundance of this type of clean and relatively cheap fuel will cut into sales of plug-ins.
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